It's okay to talk about the Queen's passing, but don't dare mention prime ministers

Some people went a little berserk over my recent post about the potential political consequences of a former prime minister dying.

They thought this topic wasn't worthy of coverage.

In a nutshell, I wrote that if Jean Chretien passes away, support for the federal Liberals will go up, enhancing their chance of winning the next election.

The timing of this post, shortly after he had successful brain surgery, was deemed by some to be in bad taste.

At the risk of inflaming the blogosphere, I'm going to offer my thoughts on the potential political consequences if any of the five other living former prime ministers die (which they obviously will eventually).

Paul Martin's passing would also help the federal Liberals. People will look back and say that he got a raw deal on the sponsorship scandal.

Moreover, they'll credit him for balancing the books as finance minister and boosting Canada's profile on the world stage.

The current finance minister, Jim Flaherty, is a duffer in comparison, ringing up huge budget deficits and leaving no real lasting mark.

Kim Campbell and John Turner were each prime minister for a few months. Both weren't there long enough to leave an impression, so the political impact of their deaths would likely be minimal.

Now, I'll move on to Brian Mulroney. If he dies, it will also have little effect on the political landscape.

He's hardly beloved, particularly after it was revealed that he accepted either $225,000 or $300,000 in cash from Karlheinz Schreiber.

Mulroney's Red Tory approach, which included some progressive environmental policies, differed significantly from the distinctly more right wing policies of the Stephen Harper Conservatives. So there won't be a positive or negative effect here for federal politicians.

Mulroney may have been Corporate Canada's favourite prime minister, but he was also a consistent opponent of apartheid in South Africa. This is not enough to redeem him in the eyes of many Canadians.

The last former prime minister on the list is Joe Clark.

He's widely seen as a decent man who made a fatal political mistake: jacking up taxes on gasoline. Clark refused to make peace with Harper when Harper headed the Canadian Alliance.

When Clark eventually passes away, as he must at some point, many older Canadians will look upon him with some fondness.

There will be some coverage of his differences with Harper, which could, on balance, tip a small amount of support toward the federal Liberals if Harper is still prime minister.

Clark's demise wouldn't have nearly as much effect as Chretien's death on federal politics.

I'm guessing that some people will condemn this blog post as ghoulish.

Here's my response: have you ever speculated on what might happen to the monarchy after Queen Elizabeth dies?

Follow Charlie Smith on Twitter at twitter.com/csmithstraight.

Comments

Matthew Lazin-Ryder
Unless people really dig Charlie's organic brewery, it's over. At least in Canada. Despite the protestations of veterans groups, the Monarchist League, a few constitutional experts, and people who were 50 when Trudeau was elected, we will begin calling the Governor General something a little more sovereign, and will be appointed by parliament, not the PM. The job will be stripped of its remaining powers, and the Privy Council will be turned into a constitutional think tank so parliaments don't have to deal with the Supreme Court so often.

Britain, however, will stick with those sporty gingers for a good few centuries yet.

There, I speculated.
 
don't feed the trolls
Charlie:

internet 101:

do not feed the trolls

the paid neocons successfully made you defensive. Remember
1. most are paid
2. others are just ignorant jerks

http://www.ctv.ca/CTVNews/QPeriod/20100523/government-online-forums-100523/
 
Charlie Smith
Dear don't feed the trolls,

Actually, I threw this out to tease them a bit. I appreciate you posting this link in your comments. It needs to be mentioned frequently because some people are unaware of how the paid spin doctors and their henchmen operate.

www.prwatch.org is a great site for anyone interested in learning more about how things really work in this world.
 
dude
ghoulish?
irrelevant, boring, uninspired, lazy, meaningless
but not so much ghoulish
I guess this is what the blogosphere does to reporting
 
PoliticsReSpun.org
ok, come on. seriously?

first, unambiguously ambidextrous calls the bc liberals a centrist party.

http://unambig.com/national-post-the-beginning-of-the-end-of-gordon-camp...

now you're calling mulroney a red tory, but not joe clarke?

weird week.
stephen elliott-buckley
http://PoliticsReSpun.org
 
Evil Eye
Really want the Internet trolls to go berserk, don't speculate about the death of questionable Canadian politicians, instead just take on the SkyTrain types or as the Rail for the Valley boys call, the SkyTrain Lobby!

Libel, slander and death threats are the norm for that lot!

All political parties plan for and have plans for the death of their opposite number.

So Charlie, let's speculate on the death of Gordon Campbell - could it be a death of 800,000 HST petition cuts?
 
Needing a Miracle
Sorry, Charlie (always wanted to use that line),

You may want to back up your speculation (maybe StatsCan) ;-), tying any Canadian po'ls death to a bump-up in their party's voting fortunes. Seems like a loooooooooooooooooon stretch.

Chretien has been out of the game for a long while, the long knives are pretty much out constantly in the party these days, and lifelong Libs like myself ---still pissed by AdScam ---are waiting for proof that the Natural Ruling Party has mended its ways. Haven't seen or heard anything that inspires me.

Oh, and a party platform/vision would be nice, too.
 
 
[Comments Disclaimer]
Post a comment
· Use your real name to have your comment considered for publication in print.
· URLs and email addresses will be automatically turned into links.